USING MARKOV CHAIN ANALYSIS TO ASSESS THE CONVERGENCE TRENDS IN THE EMPLOYED POPULATION IN ROMANIAN URBAN AREAS
The paper presents an application of a short time
forecasting methods used to make forecast on the population employed in various
economic activities. The rates of employment, along with some demographic
features of the local inhabitants are of major interest for the highly
responsible decision makers and urban planners and for the business
environment, as well for the local institutions in delivering different public
services. The Markov chain analysis is used to allow pointing out the divergent
dynamics of the proportion the employed person in various territorial areas vs.
the national trend, as revealed by the numerical application of the Markov
method. The raw data were imported from the Eurostat database (updated autumn
2011), the folder concerning the Urban audit – derived indicators for 14
Romanian main cities (including Bucharest) and Regional statistics’s section –
Regional employment - Employment by economic activity, at NUTS levels 1 and 2
(1000 persons).<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />
USING MARKOV CHAIN ANALYSIS TO ASSESS THE CONVERGENCE TRENDS IN THE EMPLOYED POPULATION IN ROMANIAN URBAN AREAS.
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USING MARKOV CHAIN ANALYSIS TO ASSESS THE CONVERGENCE TRENDS IN THE EMPLOYED POPULATION IN ROMANIAN URBAN AREAS.
Autori:
Daniela
HÎNCU
[1]
[1]
Academy of Economic Studies, Piata Romana 6, Bucharest, Romania
Rezumat
The paper presents an application of a short time
forecasting methods used to make forecast on the population employed in various
economic activities. The rates of employment, along with some demographic
features of the local inhabitants are of major interest for the highly
responsible decision makers and urban planners and for the business
environment, as well for the local institutions in delivering different public
services. The Markov chain analysis is used to allow pointing out the divergent
dynamics of the proportion the employed person in various territorial areas vs.
the national trend, as revealed by the numerical application of the Markov
method. The raw data were imported from the Eurostat database (updated autumn
2011), the folder concerning the Urban audit – derived indicators for 14
Romanian main cities (including Bucharest) and Regional statistics’s section –
Regional employment - Employment by economic activity, at NUTS levels 1 and 2
(1000 persons).<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />
Cuvinte cheie:
Markov chain, population, urban areas
Bibliografie
A new “Basket” for Urban Quality Indicators
- Borghi, A.
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